Conjecture Quotes (5)

Another argument of hope may be drawn from this–that some of the inventions already known are such as before they were discovered it could hardly have entered any man's head to think of; they would have been simply set aside as impossible. For in conjecturing what may be men set before them the example of what has been, and divine of the new with an imagination preoccupied and colored by the old; which way of forming opinions is very fallacious, for streams that are drawn from the springheads of nature do not always run in the old channels.
Translation of Novum Organum, XCII. In Francis Bacon, James Spedding, The Works of Francis Bacon (1864), Vol. 8, 128.
See also:  |  Discovery (159)  |  Fallacy (4)  |  Impossible (16)  |  Invention (84)  |  Nature (231)  |  Opinion (33)  |  Stream (4)  |  Thinking (49)

In the discovery of hidden things and the investigation of hidden causes, stronger reasons are obtained from sure experiments and demonstrated arguments than from probable conjectures and the opinions of philosophical speculators of the common sort...
De Magnete (1600). In William Gilbert and P. Fleury Mottelay (trans.), William Gilbert of Colchester, physician of London: On the load stone and magnetic bodies (1893), xlvii.
See also:  |  Cause (47)  |  Common (2)  |  Discovery (159)  |  Experiment (183)  |  Investigation (21)  |  Obtain (5)  |  Opinion (33)  |  Philosopher (31)  |  Probable (4)  |  Reason (67)

In the space of one hundred and seventy-six years the Lower Mississippi has shortened itself two hundred and forty-two miles. That is an average of a trifle over one mile and a third per year. Therefore, any calm person, who is not blind or idiotic, can see that in the old Oolitic Silurian Period, must a million years ago next November, the Lower Mississippi River was upward of one million three hundred thousand miles long, and stuck out over the Gulf of Mexico like a fishing-rod. And by the same token any person can see that seven hundred and forty-two years from now the Lower Mississippi will be only a mile and three-quarters long, and Cairo and New Orleans will have their streets joined together, and be plodding comfortably along under a single mayor and a mutual board of aldermen. There is something fascinating about science. One gets such wholesale returns of conjecture out of such a trifling investment of fact.
Life on the Mississippi (1883, 2000), 173.
See also:  |  Fact (134)  |  Science (433)

It may be observed of mathematicians that they only meddle with such things as are certain, passing by those that are doubtful and unknown. They profess not to know all things, neither do they affect to speak of all things. What they know to be true, and can make good by invincible arguments, that they publish and insert among their theorems. Of other things they are silent and pass no judgment at all, chusing [choosing] rather to acknowledge their ignorance, than affirm anything rashly. They affirm nothing among their arguments or assertions which is not most manifestly known and examined with utmost rigour, rejecting all probable conjectures and little witticisms. They submit nothing to authority, indulge no affection, detest subterfuges of words, and declare their sentiments, as in a Court of Judicature [Justice], without passion, without apology; knowing that their reasons, as Seneca testifies of them, are not brought to persuade, but to compel.
Mathematical Lectures (1734), 64.
See also:  |  Acknowledge (3)  |  Affection (4)  |  Argument (9)  |  Authority (5)  |  Choose (2)  |  Confirm (2)  |  Declare (2)  |  Detest (2)  |  Doubt (24)  |  Ignorance (62)  |  Indulge (4)  |  Judgment (5)  |  Knowledge (318)  |  Mathematician (65)  |  Nature of Mathematics (2)  |  Passion (9)  |  Persuade (3)  |  Probable (4)  |  Publish (2)  |  Rashly (2)  |  Reason (67)  |  Reject (3)  |  Rigour (4)  |  Seneca (3)  |  Sentiment (2)  |  Theorem (13)  |  Truth (232)  |  Unknown (8)  |  Word (31)

The philosophical study of nature rises above the requirements of mere delineation, and does not consist in the sterile accumulation of isolated facts. The active and inquiring spirit of man may therefore be occasionally permitted to escape from the present into the domain of the past, to conjecture that which cannot yet be clearly determined, and thus to revel amid the ancient and ever-recurring myths of geology.
Views of Nature: Or Contemplation of the Sublime Phenomena of Creation (1850), trans. E. C. Otte and H. G. Bohn, 375.
See also:  |  Fact (134)  |  Geology (108)  |  Myth (14)  |  Nature (231)  |  Study (29)

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